Transformation Recruitment:
Est. Reading: 3 minutes
04/25

Tariff Trouble: How 2025 Trade Shifts Are Disrupting UK Procurement and Supply Chains

Supply Chain, Procurement & Operations Consultant
Supply Chain, Procurement & Operations Consultant
Thea specialises in connecting organisations with leaders who can drive procurement optimisation and supply chain resilience. Working with businesses across the UK and internationally, she leverages her deep network to place Procurement Managers, Category Management Specialists, and Supply Chain Transformation Directors who excel at aligning operations with strategic business objectives.

Rising tariffs, rising costs, rising uncertainty. That’s the current reality for many UK companies navigating the fallout from the latest wave of US trade policy. While tariffs aren’t new, the scope and intensity of the 2025 changes—particularly the new 10% blanket tariff on UK exports to the US—have sharpened the pressure on procurement teams and supply chain leaders alike.

This isn’t just about import/export spreadsheets or customs forms. It’s about strategy, margin, and resilience.

Here’s what I’ve been hearing across my network and online publications.

Margin Pressure from Every Angle

Tariffs are hitting in two directions: on UK exports heading to the US and on imported goods (or components) from global suppliers. That double impact is creating a squeeze on profit margins, especially for companies that can’t pass costs on to customers or quickly pivot to alternative suppliers.

  • 62% of UK firms with US trade exposure say they’ve been negatively affected.
  • One-third are planning price hikes.
  • One in eight expect to absorb the cost, cutting into already tight margins.

For fixed-cost industries or those bidding on long-term contracts, that’s a serious challenge.

Supply Chain Disruption is the New Normal

Several businesses I’ve spoken to are struggling with longer lead times and unexpected delays. For sectors like construction, it’s become particularly painful: key materials like timber and steel are more expensive, harder to access, and slower to arrive.

Even firms that aren’t directly exporting to the US are feeling the knock-on effects, especially those with components sourced from tariff-hit regions like China, Mexico, or the EU.

Strategic Shifts Are Underway, But Not Simple

The short-term response for many companies is tactical: absorb the costs, explain delays, adapt where possible. But behind the scenes, bigger questions are emerging:

  • Should we shift sourcing closer to home?
  • Can we diversify away from US-linked suppliers?
  • Is it time to build more resilience into our logistics and forecasting?

It sounds straightforward, but there are complications. For example, some firms are eyeing the EU as an alternative but Brexit-related red tape still creates friction. Others are considering near-shoring, but the cost and infrastructure implications aren’t always viable, especially for SMEs.

Sector Pain Points: Who’s Hit the Hardest?

The impact varies, but some sectors are particularly exposed:

  • Manufacturing, especially automotive and steel, faces rising input costs and reduced US competitiveness.
  • Construction is battling delays, cost hikes, and margin erosion on fixed-price projects.
  • Grocery and retail are juggling sourcing disruptions and consumer sensitivity to rising prices.
  • SMEs are feeling the strain most acutely, lacking the cash flow or operational flexibility of larger players.

Planning in the Dark

One of the recurring themes is how much harder it’s become to plan. Unpredictable costs, shifting tariffs, and potential retaliation from other countries have made forecasting almost guesswork.

Add in broader economic headwinds, such as downgraded UK growth forecasts and rising inflation and the planning environment starts to feel less like strategy and more like firefighting.

Is There a Silver Lining?

While most of the mood is cautious, there are a few glimmers:

  • UK goods could gain a relative edge in markets where others face even steeper tariffs.
  • The UK’s strength in services (which remain largely untouched by tariffs) provides some protection.
  • Currency movements may give exporters a short-term boost, albeit with inflationary trade-offs.

That said, the general consensus I’ve heard is this: right now, it’s more about protecting margins than chasing growth.

What Businesses Are Doing

The most forward-thinking firms aren’t waiting for policy clarity—they’re moving proactively:

  • Assessing tariff exposure at the product and supplier level.
  • Communicating openly with customers about pricing and availability risks.
  • Rebalancing inventories, prioritising critical goods.
  • Diversifying suppliers and exploring regional sourcing to build more flexibility.

As one procurement lead put it to me:

“We’ve stopped thinking about efficiency as the top priority. Resilience is the new north star.”

Final Thoughts

The 2025 tariffs haven’t just changed prices—they’ve reshaped priorities.

UK companies are being forced to re-evaluate long-held supply chain assumptions, rethink sourcing strategies, and invest in operational resilience. For some, this may open up new opportunities. For most, it’s about steadying the ship in a stormy trade environment.

If there’s one takeaway from the conversations I’ve had, it’s this: predictability is out, adaptability is in.

 

If you’re navigating tariff-related disruption or rethinking your supply chain strategy, I’d be happy to share insights from the market and connect you with leaders who are already helping organisations adapt. Connect with me on Linkedin today!

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